The Pahalgam Terror Attack: Analyzing the Incident, Intelligence Questions, and Political Aftermath
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The Baisaran Valley Massacre: Timeline and Details
The terrorist attack occurred at Baisaran meadow, a popular tourist destination approximately several kilometers from Pahalgam, known for its panoramic views surrounded by snow-capped peaks and pine forests. According to police reports, the attackers launched a coordinated assault, targeting tourists at three separate locations within the valley35. The militants reportedly engaged in brief conversations with some victims before opening fire, specifically targeting non-Muslim tourists after questioning them about their religion1.
The attack resulted in 26 fatalities, with 25 of the victims being non-Muslim tourists and one being a local Muslim resident, Syed Adil Hussain Shah, who was killed while attempting to stop one of the terrorists1. At one location, five people were killed together, two were shot dead in an open field, and others were targeted near a fencing structure surrounding the valley. Those who managed to escape by jumping over the fencing were spared5. Many of the injured were reported to be in serious condition, with at least three dozen people wounded in the attack3.
Following the attack, security forces cordoned off the area and launched a search operation to track down the perpetrators. The scale and precision of the attack suggest significant planning and local support, raising concerns about the evolving nature of terrorism in the region.
The Perpetrators and Their Network
The Resistance Front (TRF), a designated terrorist organization, claimed responsibility for the attack1. Intelligence sources have revealed that the attack was carried out by a group affiliated with the proscribed Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), comprising primarily foreign terrorists with support from local militants and overground workers from the Valley5.
Particularly concerning to security agencies is the revelation that the module was reportedly under the direct control of Hafiz Saeed, the Lashkar chief and mastermind of the 2008 Mumbai attacks, and his deputy Saifullah, both believed to be operating from Pakistan5. One of the main accused in the Pahalgam massacre has been identified as Hashim Musa, who is also believed to be a suspect in previous attacks5.
This module has been active in the Kashmir Valley for an extended period and is suspected of orchestrating several high-profile attacks in recent months, including deadly assaults in Sonamarg, Boota Pathri, and Ganderbal. In October 2024, the group allegedly carried out attacks that killed two Indian Army personnel at Boota Pathri and targeted tunnel construction workers in Sonamarg, resulting in the deaths of six laborers and a doctor5.
Questions of Intelligence Failure
The Pahalgam attack has inevitably raised questions about possible intelligence failures, with some political leaders explicitly making this claim. All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) president Asaduddin Owaisi publicly characterized the attack as an "intelligence failure" while demanding accountability from the Modi government. Owaisi described the incident as "more dangerous, condemnable and painful than the similar incidents in Uri and Pulwama"6.
While there is no direct evidence in available reports confirming specific failures by the Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), India's external intelligence agency, the incident has renewed discussions about historical challenges in India's intelligence apparatus. Previous intelligence failures, such as during the 1999 Kargil conflict, led to significant reforms, including the establishment of the National Technical Research Organization (NTRO) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA)2.
Intelligence agencies have long highlighted concerns about overlapping responsibilities and potential coordination issues between various intelligence organizations. After the Kargil conflict, some RAW officials had argued that "they had provided the intelligence but political leadership had failed to act upon it"2. Similar questions are now being raised about whether warnings existed prior to the Pahalgam attack and whether appropriate preventive actions were taken.
The Kashmir Security Landscape
The attack in Pahalgam has highlighted the ongoing security challenges in the disputed Kashmir region, which is administered by both India and Pakistan, with each claiming sovereignty over the entire territory. Since 1989, militants in the Indian-controlled section have resisted New Delhi's authority, with many Muslim Kashmiris supporting the insurgents' aspiration to unify the region, either under Pakistani governance or as an autonomous nation3.
India consistently maintains that the militancy in Kashmir is fueled by terrorism supported by Pakistan-a claim that Pakistan refutes. The ongoing conflict has resulted in tens of thousands of casualties among civilians, militants, and government troops over the decades3. The Pahalgam attack represents a significant escalation and a challenge to the narrative of improving security in the region since the abrogation of Article 370 in 2019.
Government Response and Diplomatic Measures
In response to the attack, the Indian government announced several significant diplomatic and security measures aimed at Pakistan. On April 24, 2025, the government declared that the Indus Waters Treaty of 1960 would be held in abeyance and the integrated checkpost at Attari would be closed with immediate effect4. These steps were characterized as "a strong message to Pakistan for its support of cross-border terrorism."
Security forces have intensified their counter-terrorism operations in the region, with additional police and military personnel deployed to secure the vicinity and track down those responsible for the attack. The government has also convened an all-party meeting to brief political leaders on the attack and discuss a unified national response4.
Political Controversy: Bihar Visit Amid National Mourning
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's scheduled visit to Bihar on April 25, 2025, for inaugurating development projects and attending an election rally has sparked significant political controversy. Opposition parties, particularly the Congress and Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), have criticized the timing of this visit while the nation was in mourning following the Pahalgam attack4.
The Bihar Congress highlighted on social media that while Opposition Leader Rahul Gandhi cut short his US trip to return to Delhi following the attack, the Prime Minister proceeded with his campaign plans. "The nation is in mourning, yet the Prime Minister is campaigning!" the party stated4.
The RJD went further, alleging that the state administration was pressuring local officials and representatives to ensure crowd attendance at the event. They characterized this as "an undeclared emergency" and claimed that "the money of poor states is being squandered on political programmes"4.
Adding to the controversy, JDU leaders opted to skip the all-party meeting in Delhi regarding the Pahalgam terror attack, citing their commitment to the Prime Minister's program in Madhubani. JDU working president Sanjay Kumar Jha stated, "All top JDU leaders are engaged in the Prime Minister's program in Madhubani district today, so we are not able to attend the all-party meeting"4.
Conclusion: Implications and Challenges Ahead
The Pahalgam terror attack represents one of the deadliest security incidents in Kashmir since the constitutional changes of 2019. Beyond the immediate human tragedy, it poses serious questions about the effectiveness of counter-terrorism strategies, intelligence gathering, and political responses to such crises.
The attack has revealed that despite claims of improved security, terrorist networks remain capable of executing sophisticated and deadly operations in the region. It has also highlighted the continuing geopolitical tensions with Pakistan, which India accuses of harboring and supporting terrorist leaders like Hafiz Saeed who allegedly orchestrated this attack.
As India grapples with the aftermath of this tragedy, the political divisions over the appropriate response have become evident. The controversy surrounding Prime Minister Modi's Bihar visit during a time of national mourning underscores the increasingly polarized nature of Indian politics, even in the face of security challenges that traditionally unite the political spectrum.
The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether this attack leads to substantive changes in security protocols, intelligence coordination, or the broader approach to counterterrorism in Kashmir. For the victims' families and the nation as a whole, the most pressing question remains: How can such tragedies be prevented in the future?
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